Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -350 LBSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -8.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.5 (-12.5) | 150.1 (+11.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -6.8 (-10.8) | 149.2 (+12.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.1 (-13.1) | 148.7 (+13.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.7 (-12.7) | 149.5 (+12.5) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCI 82 – 61 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#72) | -0.5 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#79) | 0.09 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#79) | 0.09 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#43) | 0.494 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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