Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +200 UCI -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +11 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -5.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.1 (-5.9) | 145.0 (-18.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -6.0 (-5.0) | 145.5 (-18.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.2 (-5.8) | 140.6 (-13.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.3 (-5.7) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCI 82 – 61 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#253) | 3.3 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#286) | 0.45 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#264) | 0.63 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#316) | 0.536 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.