Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +900 UCI -1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -17.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -13.5 (+8.5) | 138.5 (+16.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -14.3 (+9.3) | 136.8 (+18.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -13.3 (+8.3) | 138.1 (+16.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -13.9 (+8.9) | 138.7 (+16.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCI 82 – 61 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 17-3 |
| Home | 3-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#313) | 10.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#286) | 2.43 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#282) | 2.64 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#280) | 0.621 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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