Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -500 LBSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -11.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.6 (+10.4) | 154.7 (-11.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.9 (+10.1) | 152.6 (-9.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -10.7 (+10.3) | 153.2 (-10.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -10.6 (+10.4) | 153.8 (-10.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#73) | -0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#83) | 0.27 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#86) | 0.22 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#56) | 0.506 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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