Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -3000 LBSU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -21.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -18.8 (-8.8) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -14.4 (-4.4) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -17.0 (-7.0) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -18.6 (-8.6) | 138.0 (-8.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCI 82 – 61 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 14-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#69) | -9.5 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#43) | -1.84 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#59) | -1.93 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#29) | 0.421 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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