Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -275 NDSU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -10.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -8.6 (+4.4) | 138.8 (+6.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -8.7 (+4.3) | 140.5 (+4.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -9.5 (+3.5) | 140.7 (+4.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -9.5 (+3.5) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | STMN 84 – 62 NDSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NDSU 68 – 65 STMN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | STMN 79 – 62 NDSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | STMN 89 – 85 NDSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | STMN 68 – 58 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#135) | -4.4 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#178) | -0.77 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#143) | -1.05 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#208) | 0.458 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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