Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -150 MSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -2.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.6 (+10.4) | 135.8 (+11.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.1 (+10.9) | 137.8 (+9.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -3.9 (+11.1) | 137.3 (+9.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -3.8 (+11.2) | 138.2 (+8.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WIS 92 – 71 MSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | WIS 77 – 74 MSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSU 71 – 62 WIS |
| Dec 6, 2023 | WIS 70 – 57 MSU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | MSU 69 – 65 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#18) | 15.4 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#12) | 1.66 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#10) | 2.37 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#8) | 0.578 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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