Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MSU -140 WIS +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | MSU -1.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -1.6 (-4.6) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -0.9 (-3.9) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -2.3 (-5.3) | 140.7 (+10.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -2.8 (-5.8) | 140.6 (+10.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WIS 92 – 71 MSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSU 71 – 62 WIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WIS 81 – 66 MSU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | WIS 70 – 57 MSU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | MSU 69 – 65 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#12) | 17.8 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#7) | 2.92 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.57 (#8) | 3.88 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#8) | 0.601 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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