Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WIS +114 MSU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +21 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -3.7 (+24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -4.6 (+25.6) | 147.3 (+15.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -1.9 (+22.9) | 148.6 (+14.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -1.0 (+22.0) | 147.6 (+15.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -1.8 (+22.8) | 146.5 (+16.5) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | WIS 77 – 74 MSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSU 71 – 62 WIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WIS 81 – 66 MSU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | WIS 70 – 57 MSU |
| Jan 11, 2023 | MSU 69 – 65 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#40) | 20.7 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#31) | 3.67 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#36) | 4.88 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#40) | 0.641 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.