Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -3.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -3.3 (-7.3) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.2 (-8.2) | 130.3 (+3.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -3.8 (-7.8) | 129.9 (+4.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -3.9 (-7.9) | 133.0 (+1.0) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WIS 92 – 71 MSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | WIS 77 – 74 MSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSU 71 – 62 WIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WIS 81 – 66 MSU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | WIS 70 – 57 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#73) | 7.8 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#17) | 1.98 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#20) | 2.40 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#28) | 0.602 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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