Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -800 HALL +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +18 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -9.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -9.0 (+9.0) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -8.9 (+9.1) | 144.8 (-12.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -7.9 (+10.1) | 145.5 (-13.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -8.8 (+9.2) | 144.8 (-12.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HALL 79 – 73 MARQ |
| Feb 19, 2025 | MARQ 80 – 56 HALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HALL 78 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 17-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#17) | 8.7 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#17) | 1.53 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#16) | 2.04 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#20) | 0.569 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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