In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Big East Conference · Prudential Center · January 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread MARQ -12.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money HALL +750 / MARQ -1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual MARQ +17 135 Lost
Massey MARQ -15.0 (-2.0)
Massey Totals 137.7 (-2.7)
Bradley-Terry 3%
Weighted B-T 1%
Efficiency Plus ML MARQ -10.8 (-6.2) 138.5 (-3.5) 17%
Baseline Tuned ML MARQ -14.1 (-2.9) 140.3 (-5.3) 14%
Baseline ML MARQ -13.0 (-4.0) 139.6 (-4.6) 13%
Baseline Plus ML MARQ -13.1 (-3.9) 140.2 (-5.2) 14%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 HALL 6964 MARQ
Dec 31, 2025 HALL 7973 MARQ
Feb 19, 2025 MARQ 8056 HALL
Jan 27, 2024 MARQ 7557 HALL
Jan 6, 2024 HALL 7875 MARQ

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL MARQ
Overall 7-25 23-11
Conference 2-18 13-7
Home 5-11 14-3
Away 0-11 7-6
Neutral 2-3 2-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L7 L2
Avg Pts For 61.6 76.6
Avg Pts Against 70.2 68.7
Massey -1.3 (#182) 17.2 (#18)
Bradley-Terry -0.74 (#237) 3.28 (#17)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.79 (#234) 4.48 (#10)
RPI 0.459 (#246) 0.648 (#9)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL MARQ
FG% 40.4% 44.9%
3PT% 35.4% 32.6%
REB / G 33.9 34.3
OREB / G 12.3 11.1
AST / TO 0.93 1.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 52.5%
TOV% 18.9% 13.0%
ORB% 34.1% 30.1%
FT Rate 23.7% 19.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 50.1%
Opp TOV% 20.9% 23.0%
DRB% 72.1% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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