Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -3000 HALL +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -21.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -17.7 (+6.3) | 133.0 (+3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -15.9 (+8.1) | 130.6 (+5.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -17.9 (+6.1) | 133.1 (+2.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -17.5 (+6.5) | 133.2 (+2.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HALL 79 – 73 MARQ |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MARQ 75 – 57 HALL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HALL 78 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-11 |
| Away | 7-6 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#26) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#27) | -0.81 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#20) | -1.00 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#17) | 0.445 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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