Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -115 HALL -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -6.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -7.9 (+1.9) | 137.0 (+15.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -2.8 (-3.2) | 136.5 (+15.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -8.3 (+2.3) | 134.3 (+17.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -8.8 (+2.8) | 134.1 (+17.9) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Feb 19, 2025 | MARQ 80 – 56 HALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MARQ 75 – 57 HALL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HALL 78 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#160) | 11.0 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#249) | 2.70 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#232) | 3.93 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#275) | 0.614 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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