Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | HALL +196 MARQ -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -4.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -2.3 (+5.3) | 139.0 (+14.0) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -4.6 (+7.6) | 140.6 (+12.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -3.1 (+6.1) | 139.3 (+13.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -3.1 (+6.1) | 140.4 (+12.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HALL 79 – 73 MARQ |
| Feb 19, 2025 | MARQ 80 – 56 HALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MARQ 75 – 57 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 17-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#80) | 15.7 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#84) | 3.14 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#88) | 4.26 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#76) | 0.659 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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