Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -1600 COPP +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -18.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -14.6 (-4.6) | 129.7 (-3.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -13.7 (-3.7) | 132.0 (-6.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -14.1 (-4.1) | 130.2 (-4.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -14.3 (-4.3) | 129.9 (-3.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 1-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 2-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#201) | -16.7 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#183) | -3.22 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#187) | -3.74 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#203) | 0.350 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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