Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -1100 COPP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +27 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -18.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (+33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -13.9 (+13.1) | 138.5 (+40.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -14.5 (+12.5) | 139.2 (+39.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -13.7 (+13.3) | 138.2 (+40.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -13.2 (+13.8) | 137.9 (+41.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NORF 68 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#298) | -23.8 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#316) | -3.60 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#330) | -4.88 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#326) | 0.361 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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