Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | NORF -600 COPP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +24 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -14.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -12.2 (+11.8) | 131.6 (-5.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -12.4 (+11.6) | 130.3 (-4.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -12.6 (+11.4) | 131.5 (-5.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -11.5 (+12.5) | 130.8 (-4.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NORF 68 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 1-13 |
| Home | 15-0 | 2-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W2 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#242) | -18.0 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#185) | -3.63 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#201) | -3.96 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#164) | 0.337 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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