Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -7500 COPP +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +23 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -23.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -15.9 (+7.1) | 134.2 (+26.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -16.6 (+6.4) | 136.2 (+24.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -15.9 (+7.1) | 136.2 (+24.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -16.5 (+6.5) | 135.9 (+25.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NORF 68 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 4-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#129) | -17.7 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#115) | -2.85 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#134) | -3.90 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#119) | 0.378 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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