Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +750 NORF -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +16 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -15.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -14.3 (-1.7) | 140.3 (+1.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -13.6 (-2.4) | 141.0 (+1.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -14.6 (-1.4) | 139.8 (+2.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -13.7 (-2.3) | 140.3 (+1.7) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NORF 68 – 66 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-17 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -19.1 (#362) | -0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#356) | 0.34 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.99 (#359) | 0.12 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#355) | 0.531 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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