Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NE -500 W&M +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -10.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -6.8 (-10.8) | 138.1 (+1.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -7.5 (-11.5) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -6.8 (-10.8) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -7.3 (-11.3) | 140.2 (-0.2) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2023 | W&M 69 – 66 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#222) | -9.5 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#208) | -2.23 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#211) | -2.61 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#195) | 0.374 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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