Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NE -350 W&M +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | NE -4.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -3.1 (+8.9) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NE -3.5 (+8.5) | 133.3 (-7.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -2.6 (+9.4) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.6 (+9.4) | 137.9 (-11.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Jan 6, 2023 | W&M 69 – 66 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#297) | -8.6 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#288) | -1.21 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#279) | -1.83 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#304) | 0.454 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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