Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | W&M +125 NE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -4.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -1.9 (+1.1) | 133.3 (+1.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | W&M -0.4 (+2.6) | 133.1 (+1.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | W&M -1.6 (+1.4) | 134.7 (+0.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -1.8 (+1.2) | 135.6 (-0.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#277) | -5.8 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#284) | -0.95 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#302) | -1.09 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#250) | 0.454 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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