Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | NE +215 W&M -265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +27 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -5.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -3.8 (-23.2) | 159.7 (+1.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | W&M -2.5 (-24.5) | 161.6 (-0.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | W&M -3.9 (-23.1) | 157.6 (+3.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -4.5 (-22.5) | 158.2 (+2.8) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2023 | W&M 69 – 66 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 2-10 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#253) | 2.5 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#284) | 0.37 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#273) | 0.44 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#269) | 0.540 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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