Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -155 NE +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -2.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -2.0 (-4.0) | 148.0 (-10.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | W&M -1.6 (-3.6) | 148.0 (-10.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | W&M -2.3 (-4.3) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -2.0 (-4.0) | 148.8 (-10.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2023 | W&M 69 – 66 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#216) | -2.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#178) | -0.26 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#179) | -0.41 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#165) | 0.494 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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