Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | GW -225 LAS +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -8.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -4.4 (-14.4) | 155.7 (-5.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -6.2 (-16.2) | 153.2 (-3.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -6.2 (-16.2) | 153.3 (-3.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -6.0 (-16.0) | 155.1 (-5.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GW 71 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAS 73 – 67 GW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | LAS 61 – 60 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#143) | -3.2 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#105) | -0.16 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#111) | -0.30 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#125) | 0.482 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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