Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -150 GW +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | GW -0.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.1 (+0.9) | 150.3 (-29.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.3 (+1.3) | 150.9 (-29.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -0.0 (+1.0) | 147.7 (-26.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.2 (+0.8) | 148.0 (-27.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GW 71 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAS 73 – 67 GW |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAS 72 – 66 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#200) | -1.3 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#183) | -0.07 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#181) | -0.16 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#216) | 0.478 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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