Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -225 GW +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -3.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -3.5 (+2.5) | 158.2 (-20.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -2.8 (+3.2) | 156.9 (-18.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -3.2 (+2.8) | 155.5 (-17.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -3.1 (+2.9) | 155.9 (-17.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GW 71 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAS 73 – 67 GW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | LAS 61 – 60 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#195) | -2.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#185) | -0.14 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#182) | -0.28 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#219) | 0.473 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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