Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +115 GW -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | GW -1.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.1 (+6.1) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.2 (+5.8) | 142.6 (-2.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -0.1 (+6.1) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.2 (+5.8) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GW 71 – 60 LAS |
| Mar 12, 2024 | LAS 61 – 60 GW |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAS 72 – 66 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#205) | 2.2 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#157) | 0.44 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#184) | 0.57 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#132) | 0.521 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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