Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GW -550 LAS +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | GW -10.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -8.7 (+2.3) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -8.4 (+2.6) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -8.5 (+2.5) | 140.2 (-9.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -9.1 (+1.9) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAS 73 – 67 GW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | LAS 61 – 60 GW |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAS 72 – 66 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#123) | -4.4 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#140) | -0.44 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#126) | -0.76 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#153) | 0.484 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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