Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +100 OAK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +4 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -2.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -1.2 (-2.8) | 151.0 (+27.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.9 (-2.1) | 153.4 (+24.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -2.2 (-1.8) | 153.8 (+24.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -2.6 (-1.4) | 154.9 (+23.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#255) | 2.0 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#227) | 0.65 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#263) | 0.55 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.555 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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