Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -360 OAK +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -7.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -6.6 (-14.6) | 145.4 (-9.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -4.7 (-12.7) | 145.3 (-9.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -6.6 (-14.6) | 146.4 (-10.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -6.5 (-14.5) | 147.3 (-11.3) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | OAK 83 – 76 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#130) | -2.0 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#132) | -0.27 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#118) | -0.32 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#86) | 0.517 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 40.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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