They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
83 – 76
FINAL Neutral Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Milwaukee Panthers
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum (Neutral) · March 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -3.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money OAK -188 / MILW +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total OAK win
Actual OAK +7 159 Won
Massey OAK -6.1 (+0.9) — —
Massey Totals — 157.3 (+1.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OAK -4.3 (+2.7) 151.0 (+8.0) 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OAK -4.0 (+3.0) 152.4 (+6.6) 64% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OAK -5.1 (+1.9) 151.9 (+7.1) 69% ✓
Baseline ML OAK -4.7 (+2.3) 152.5 (+6.5) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 OAK 81 – 70 MILW
Jan 16, 2026 OAK 73 – 60 MILW
Mar 7, 2025 OAK 72 – 64 MILW
Feb 28, 2025 MILW 71 – 66 OAK
Jan 3, 2025 OAK 65 – 49 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OAK MILW
Overall 24-12 20-15
Conference 15-5 12-8
Home 10-3 12-4
Away 9-7 6-9
Neutral 5-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.4 79.0
Avg Pts Against 73.2 79.5
Massey 2.6 (#132) -3.4 (#226)
Bradley-Terry 0.76 (#111) -0.21 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#126) -0.61 (#226)
RPI 0.562 (#66) 0.507 (#160)
Shooting & Four Factors OAK MILW
FG% 45.0% 44.8%
3PT% 35.1% 32.5%
REB / G 35.5 38.1
OREB / G 10.3 13.3
AST / TO 1.27 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 51.2%
TOV% 16.4% 18.2%
ORB% 30.2% 35.9%
FT Rate 23.1% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 15.9%
DRB% 71.5% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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