You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
83 76
FINAL Neutral Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Milwaukee Panthers
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum (Neutral) · March 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -3.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money OAK -188 / MILW +145
Model Predictions
Spread Total OAK win
Actual OAK +7 159 Won
Massey OAK -6.1 (+0.9)
Massey Totals 157.3 (+1.7)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 77%
Baseline Plus ML OAK -6.0 (+1.0) 150.5 (+8.5) 72%
Model 4 ML OAK -4.5 (+2.5) 153.1 (+5.9) 66%
Model 3 ML OAK -5.1 (+1.9) 149.6 (+9.4) 74%
Baseline ML OAK -5.3 (+1.7) 152.5 (+6.5) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 OAK 8170 MILW
Jan 16, 2026 OAK 7360 MILW
Mar 7, 2025 OAK 7264 MILW
Feb 28, 2025 MILW 7166 OAK
Jan 3, 2025 OAK 6549 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OAK MILW
Overall 24-12 20-15
Conference 15-5 12-8
Home 10-3 12-4
Away 9-7 6-9
Neutral 5-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.4 79.0
Avg Pts Against 73.2 79.5
Massey 2.6 (#132) -3.4 (#226)
Bradley-Terry 0.76 (#111) -0.21 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#126) -0.61 (#226)
RPI 0.562 (#66) 0.507 (#160)
Shooting & Four Factors OAK MILW
FG% 45.0% 44.8%
3PT% 35.1% 32.5%
REB / G 35.5 38.1
OREB / G 10.3 13.3
AST / TO 1.27 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 51.2%
TOV% 16.4% 18.2%
ORB% 30.2% 35.9%
FT Rate 23.1% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 15.9%
DRB% 71.5% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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