Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -270 MILW +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -9.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -8.0 (+3.0) | 155.6 (-4.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.9 (+5.1) | 155.4 (-4.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -9.1 (+1.9) | 157.0 (-6.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -7.6 (+3.4) | 157.4 (-6.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | OAK 83 – 76 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#160) | -5.9 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#160) | -0.99 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#172) | -1.43 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#101) | 0.461 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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