Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | MILW +124 OAK -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -3.1 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.8 (-38.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.7 (-11.3) | 162.5 (-29.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -0.9 (-12.1) | 157.7 (-24.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -1.5 (-11.5) | 159.7 (-26.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -2.4 (-10.6) | 161.8 (-28.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | OAK 83 – 76 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#228) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#220) | 0.62 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#230) | 0.49 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#229) | 0.574 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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