Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -110 MILW -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +16 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -1.4 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -1.2 (+17.2) | 142.6 (-28.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MILW -1.3 (+17.3) | 142.0 (-28.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MILW -1.6 (+17.6) | 144.7 (-30.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.9 (+17.9) | 147.1 (-33.1) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Mar 12, 2024 | OAK 83 – 76 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#219) | 2.3 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#202) | 0.59 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#197) | 0.95 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#146) | 0.542 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 41.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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