Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -400 AAMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -11.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -10.3 (+5.7) | 138.3 (+15.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -7.8 (+8.2) | 137.2 (+16.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.5 (+7.5) | 135.1 (+18.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -9.6 (+6.4) | 135.1 (+18.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TXSO 74 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#292) | -14.6 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#294) | -2.23 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#311) | -3.37 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#272) | 0.399 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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