Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | AAMU +150 TXSO -178 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +13 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -0.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -0.2 (-12.8) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -1.2 (-11.8) | 138.4 (-3.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -0.1 (-12.9) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -0.2 (-12.8) | 136.2 (-1.2) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#312) | -8.0 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#317) | -1.55 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#325) | -1.84 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#307) | 0.448 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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