Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU +190 TXSO -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -5.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -5.7 (+1.7) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -4.8 (+0.8) | 146.4 (+13.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -4.9 (+0.9) | 148.8 (+11.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -4.8 (+0.8) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TXSO 74 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -18.1 (#362) | -9.1 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#357) | -1.66 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.87 (#356) | -2.08 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#363) | 0.413 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 61.7% | 63.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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