Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -102 AAMU -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +11 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -0.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -0.3 (-10.7) | 145.1 (+13.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -0.4 (-10.6) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -0.1 (-10.9) | 142.5 (+16.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -0.4 (-10.6) | 141.3 (+17.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TXSO 72 – 65 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TXSO 74 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#326) | -10.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#315) | -1.20 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#311) | -1.44 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#279) | 0.449 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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