Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -275 AAMU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -5.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -5.5 (+1.5) | 137.9 (-0.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -5.8 (+1.2) | 136.3 (+0.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -5.3 (+1.7) | 136.8 (+0.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -5.8 (+1.2) | 138.2 (-1.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | AAMU 85 – 74 TXSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | TXSO 89 – 74 AAMU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 78 AAMU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TXSO 85 – 69 AAMU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TXSO 74 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#278) | -12.1 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#251) | -1.49 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#264) | -2.00 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.440 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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