Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -138 TOW +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +11 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -4.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.3 (-12.3) | 129.2 (-6.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -2.8 (-13.8) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.2 (-14.2) | 134.7 (-11.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -3.3 (-14.3) | 132.1 (-9.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Mar 6, 2023 | TOW 86 – 60 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-6 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 64.2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#138) | 1.0 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#147) | 0.47 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#133) | 0.41 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#145) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 40.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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