Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +26 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -4.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -5.2 (+20.8) | 136.5 (+9.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -4.1 (+21.9) | 141.2 (+4.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -3.9 (+22.1) | 142.1 (+3.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -3.2 (+22.8) | 140.4 (+5.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#142) | -3.5 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#136) | -0.26 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | -0.32 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#141) | 0.495 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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