Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DEL +115 TOW -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -0.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -0.1 (-9.9) | 144.8 (-2.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -0.3 (-9.7) | 144.7 (-2.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -1.3 (-8.7) | 141.7 (+0.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -0.2 (-9.8) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
| Mar 6, 2023 | TOW 86 – 60 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#230) | -1.2 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#225) | 0.40 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#228) | 0.30 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#229) | 0.536 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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