Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -280 DEL +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -6.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -7.7 (-2.7) | 141.0 (+4.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -6.6 (-1.6) | 139.5 (+5.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -6.7 (-1.7) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -6.9 (-1.9) | 141.2 (+3.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
| Mar 6, 2023 | TOW 86 – 60 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#177) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#120) | -0.76 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#143) | -1.00 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#83) | 0.472 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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