Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -150 DEL +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -2.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -3.4 (-15.4) | 132.0 (+4.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -2.0 (-14.0) | 132.8 (+3.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -2.9 (-14.9) | 133.8 (+2.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -2.2 (-14.2) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
| Mar 6, 2023 | TOW 86 – 60 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-6 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#144) | 2.0 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#132) | 0.19 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#146) | 0.33 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#117) | 0.511 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 39.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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