Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -280 DEL +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -4.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -5.5 (-15.5) | 142.6 (+11.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -4.6 (-14.6) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -4.9 (-14.9) | 147.5 (+6.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -4.3 (-14.3) | 146.2 (+7.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
| Mar 6, 2023 | TOW 86 – 60 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#155) | -4.4 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#109) | -0.80 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#119) | -0.94 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#60) | 0.485 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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