Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BRY +130 UVM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +10 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -1.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -0.1 (-10.1) | 142.6 (-18.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.0 (-11.0) | 140.0 (-16.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.9 (-10.9) | 140.9 (-16.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -0.7 (-9.3) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 15-1 |
| Home | 11-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 8-10 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#154) | 3.2 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#116) | 1.23 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#114) | 1.50 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#115) | 0.555 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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