Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -110 BRY -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +4 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -3.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.8 (+5.8) | 137.3 (-23.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -1.2 (+5.2) | 139.1 (-25.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.6 (+5.6) | 140.9 (-26.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.8 (+5.8) | 140.3 (-26.3) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UVM 77 – 57 BRY |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UVM 65 – 48 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 14-2 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#266) | -0.0 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#210) | -0.17 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#216) | 0.10 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#165) | 0.526 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.