Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -1050 BRY +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -13.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -13.5 (+6.5) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -9.7 (+10.3) | 136.8 (-2.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -11.9 (+8.1) | 134.7 (-0.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -11.8 (+8.2) | 134.6 (-0.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UVM 90 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UVM 62 – 52 BRY |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVM 59 – 55 BRY |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRY 73 – 53 UVM |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UVM 65 – 48 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#228) | -14.5 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#232) | -2.58 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#228) | -3.10 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#182) | 0.413 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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